Even if the U.S. reaches President Joe Biden's July 4 goal of 70 percent of American adults at least partially vaccinated, 30 states are unlikely to hit that goal, according to a New York Times analysis.
If the current vaccination pace remains the same, the U.S. is roughly on track to meet President Biden's goal. However, vaccine demand has dropped across many regions in recent weeks. In Alabama, Louisiana, Mississippi and Wyoming, fewer than half of all adults have received at least one shot, and rates are unlikely to reach much higher than 50 percent by early July.
Below are projections for how long it would take 10 states with the slowest vaccination paces to reach 70 percent of adults vaccinated with one dose at the current pace, per the Times:
Alabama
Currently vaccinated: 46 percent
Seven-day average vaccinations per 100,000 people: 45
Estimated time to 70 percent vaccinated: 1 year+
Mississippi
Currently vaccinated: 44 percent
Seven-day average vaccinations per 100,000 people: 55
Estimated time to 70 percent vaccinated: 1 year+
Wyoming
Currently vaccinated: 47 percent
Seven-day average vaccinations per 100,000 people: 74
Estimated time to 70 percent vaccinated: 10 months
Louisiana
Currently vaccinated: 46 percent
Seven-day average vaccinations per 100,000 people: 109
Estimated time to 70 percent vaccinated: 7 months
Oklahoma
Currently vaccinated: 54 percent
Seven-day average vaccinations per 100,000 people: 86
Estimated time to 70 percent vaccinated: 6 months
Tennessee
Currently vaccinated: 49 percent
Seven-day average vaccinations per 100,000 people: 113
Estimated time to 70 percent vaccinated: 6 months
North Dakota
Currently vaccinated: 54 percent
Seven-day average vaccinations per 100,000 people: 89
Estimated time to 70 percent vaccinated: 6 months
Missouri
Currently vaccinated: 53 percent
Seven-day average vaccinations per 100,000 people: 101
Estimated time to 70 percent vaccinated: 5 months
North Carolina
Currently vaccinated: 54 percent
Seven-day average vaccinations per 100,000 people: 101
Estimated time to 70 percent vaccinated: 5 months
Arkansas
Currently vaccinated: 50 percent
Seven-day average vaccinations per 100,000 people: 126
Estimated time to 70 percent vaccinated: 5 months
Click here for a list of all 50 states ranked by percentage of population fully vaccinated.